Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 76000.892705 80286.576467 84575.639732 89187.095717 94001.850549 98877.458879 104184.808114
2026-01-04 69412.951806 75971.703870 82721.653834 90178.113189 98174.566982 106483.126775 115759.031052
2026-01-11 64520.390444 72632.650491 81167.691348 90797.594732 101340.812308 112513.201841 125227.482100
2026-01-18 60430.810166 69669.433167 79571.956577 90943.847558 103609.407661 117249.371350 133015.814783
2026-01-25 57134.532076 67264.655856 78301.048000 91171.194475 105718.996255 121604.451063 140212.015591
2026-02-01 54137.675854 64966.435271 76939.800367 91097.433509 107314.113645 125241.719355 146490.004071
2026-02-08 52007.764798 63502.627886 76383.713842 91805.597842 109680.961372 129660.170917 153587.890875
2026-02-15 49689.405415 61683.453770 75295.883155 91786.345397 111114.340950 132939.853148 159333.326458
2026-02-22 48341.824885 60918.369443 75357.098728 93034.979903 113962.539124 137811.514842 166901.344336
2026-03-01 46891.592292 59950.232924 75108.809241 93856.767232 116262.570880 142018.140221 173689.530300
2026-03-08 45082.557181 58466.478278 74172.687823 93791.900417 117457.304711 144891.034987 178892.682242
2026-03-15 43606.695080 57323.813815 73587.661418 94094.426334 119046.418098 148200.262497 184599.664635
2026-03-22 42784.951564 56967.382449 73946.756729 95544.353421 122037.860741 153220.440324 192418.357689
2026-03-29 41802.092437 56369.194725 73977.215329 96568.921204 124503.675235 157619.131721 199523.731024
2026-04-05 40702.065621 55578.021756 73730.201126 97218.602198 126489.447976 161432.114847 205934.784618
2026-04-12 39434.930323 54526.000394 73114.965593 97372.020900 127834.685149 164451.415525 211382.440733
2026-04-19 38282.994813 53580.259404 72595.882598 97612.125991 129261.842824 167557.275022 216937.732206
2026-04-26 37051.890076 52488.985956 71853.273279 97534.073338 130263.083749 170122.398767 221825.506776
2026-05-03 36252.727205 51936.520119 71775.974967 98282.795383 132292.217348 173957.864996 228297.905487
2026-05-10 35163.623459 50963.204483 71122.507665 98262.437455 133324.257198 176540.481088 233214.580537
2026-05-17 34694.547039 50802.474857 71512.873082 99582.468009 136065.010330 181272.055817 240843.676524
2026-05-24 34063.169346 50399.840318 71567.306839 100451.146846 138220.622531 185272.495439 247575.172553
2026-05-31 33082.820749 49491.140417 70925.562569 100382.581458 139147.657503 187709.838393 252337.149581